Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002655 0.002838 0.003036 0.003265 0.003527 0.003818 0.004169
2024-10-20 0.002298 0.002530 0.002794 0.003121 0.003520 0.004001 0.004640
2024-10-27 0.002112 0.002379 0.002695 0.003107 0.003641 0.004334 0.005345
2024-11-03 0.001886 0.002152 0.002475 0.002908 0.003492 0.004286 0.005521
2024-11-10 0.001803 0.002089 0.002446 0.002941 0.003641 0.004655 0.006382
2024-11-17 0.001744 0.002048 0.002438 0.002997 0.003825 0.005102 0.007500
2024-11-24 0.001665 0.001974 0.002378 0.002971 0.003881 0.005357 0.008369
2024-12-01 0.001626 0.001949 0.002381 0.003034 0.004077 0.005879 0.009997
2024-12-08 0.001569 0.001895 0.002337 0.003021 0.004148 0.006194 0.011335
2024-12-15 0.001505 0.001828 0.002272 0.002968 0.004142 0.006359 0.012392
2024-12-22 0.001482 0.001816 0.002282 0.003032 0.004347 0.006996 0.015332
2024-12-29 0.001457 0.001799 0.002284 0.003083 0.004535 0.007652 0.019181
2025-01-05 0.001407 0.001747 0.002235 0.003051 0.004575 0.008012 0.022646
2025-01-12 0.001339 0.001667 0.002139 0.002936 0.004441 0.007914 0.023778
2025-01-19 0.001303 0.001631 0.002109 0.002929 0.004522 0.008410 0.029835
2025-01-26 0.001229 0.001537 0.001985 0.002751 0.004234 0.007820 0.026951
2025-02-02 0.001209 0.001521 0.001981 0.002782 0.004384 0.008522 0.037092
2025-02-09 0.001195 0.001513 0.001988 0.002833 0.004586 0.009482 0.059434
2025-02-16 0.001165 0.001481 0.001956 0.002810 0.004620 0.009917 0.083411
2025-02-23 0.001154 0.001476 0.001966 0.002867 0.004847 0.011176 0.229518
2025-03-02 0.001130 0.001450 0.001942 0.002855 0.004909 0.011848 0.906968
2025-03-09 0.001100 0.001415 0.001899 0.002807 0.004873 0.012085 NaN
2025-03-16 0.001092 0.001412 0.001912 0.002865 0.005119 0.013830 NaN